Through the course of the semester, my group and I were mainly pay attention to the conflicts of the Syrian Civil War. At the beginning we look at the information about the real time situation of the war, and later we look more in depth detail and information about the why the war happen and the chemical weapons be used to kill the civilians. During that time, we believe there are actually two result for the chemical weapons being use. Firstly, the government really uses it toward its people. Secondly, someone give these chemical weapons to rebel army and they use it by a small mistake. Both suggestions have their own bias and the UN intervention and investigation might be the best way to tell us the truth. But since the civil war become wore, the UN has no choice but leave the country without solving any of the doubts. I actually read the report of the UN report and I have some doubt about it, firstly the location of the chemical being use was so close to the Syrian army camp, so there have the chance that the gas will poison their men. I doubt that no one especially the government could suffer this risk. Secondly, using the chemical weapon give the best excuse for NATO to invade Syria under the name of against the piece law. So we actually don’t believe the government has dared to do this.
At the beginning of the semester, it was very easy for me and my group member work together and sharing the information. Since I am not a very good English writer my job is to collected the information and telling what really happen in Syria. I usually talk to my group member that you have to have your own though and analysis the data by yourself and never trust the data when you first read it. So I became the man who mainly sharing the new idea and collect our group ideas together. Even though I did not enter any of our blog post but I believe that I did what I have to do and what I good at: talking and sharing. I also believe that it is good for group discussion because we can share the idea. Western thinking is totally different from the eastern think and I can learn how my US classmate thinks about the same data. That culture different really help me a lot and I love it so much.
The thing I learn from this project is
Syria problem influences the Arab-Israeli peace process. Syria is the supporter of Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas and the Palestine and Islamic Jihad. Whether Syria 's willing to use their ability to continue to maintain a relatively peaceful relations , limiting Hamas militants , supporting Hezbollah peace talks with Israel , will be the key role to ensure Israeli security. Therefore , the Syrian crisis, Israel will neither fear Bashar to step down after the Islamic radical forces flew into Syria , causing greater threat to Israel's security , on the other hand , Bashar al-Assad to step down would weaken Syria 's alliance with Iran , so that Hezbollah and Hamas losing supporters of Israel is beneficial. Therefore , the Syrian crisis, the Israeli mentality complex , rarely stand. So Syria is can be seen as the gamble for Israel.
Ethnic tensions . Middle East, mainly Arabs, Turks , Persians, Kurds and Jews , there has been so many ethnic conflicts , there is also the world political dominance competition of Islam and religious leadership. Kurdish do not have their own country, those people located in Turkey, Iran , Iraq, Syria and several other countries , has been subjected to discrimination , want to establish their own country. Therefore, the Turkish government on the one hand and actively support sanctions against Syrian government , on the other hand , oppose Kurdish autonomy required to prevent the Kurds in Turkey to seek division. Persians of Iran, by hostile Arab countries , but the Assad regime is a staunch ally of Iran , the two countries in the political , economic and military on both closely .
· Competing interests of big countries. As the world's only superpower, the united States are always intervening everywhere in the world. Middle East as a major oil producing area and an important source of terrorism, the United States and EU have always been of concern of the area. Iran and Syria been calls by the United States as " rogue states", is a staunch anti-American regime in the Middle East , the United States and other Western countries have been dissatisfied by Bashar for many years. Therefore, since the Syrian unrest, the United States and other Western countries have to demonize the Syrian government and the putting different sanctions to Syria, or even attempted to UN Security Council authorized the use of force against Syria. Also, Syria closely with Russia , has been a staunch ally of Russia in the Middle East , is Russia's major trading partner and third largest arms seller, Russia in Syria has its only military base outside the CIS , therefore , Russia is not interested in the future establish a pro-US regime in Syria , firmly opposed to military intervention in Syria. Finally, if Syria control by the EU or US, the oil tunnel will be finally build and the EU can get the oil much easier from the Middle East (Iqar is too dangerous for oil tunnel and only Syria can be the best option). I hope everyone still remember Russia invade Georgia in the year 2009. In the surface, Russia claim that they have to stop the massacre in South Ossetia, in depth the Russia need to control Georgia’s oil supply to EU. Everything will be the same this time, the Russia need to make sure there will be no oil tunnel in Syria. The all the oil supply to EU must control by the Russia. In order to totally control the middle east, the United States must takeover Syria by any cost, and the Russia need to protected its only one ally in Middle East.
Hao Le
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